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Memorandum or not - False dilemmas in Greek elections

25. April 2012. | 12:51

Source: Pioneer-Investors.com

Author: Dr.Spyros Damtsas

In our view what will be completely absent from the next Greek elections would be hope. In lack of any reliable program to overcome the crisis the parties will play on the basic axial mode of confrontation between those who accept the agreements signed with the lenders and try to implement the assorted reforms and those (principally the radicalized left and the far-right parties) that promise to lead the country out of the signed memoranda.

Greece is calling in the beginning of May its first elections since the severe debt crisis broke out in 2009.

In times of globalization and systemic risk falling to the entire European economy and beyond, Greek citizen endorse a heavy responsibility in their way to the polls. Greek political forces make nothing to alleviate this burden. In fact, current politics put them in an impossible position facing choices that appear equally catastrophic for themselves and the country.

False dilemmas are put to them, best proof that the political forces in both sides of the political spectrum are incapable of articulating a way out of the crisis. They produce, instead, discourses that hold citizen perplex and trapped in their blind course towards the abyss.

The dilemma between an austerity policy so stringent that will inevitably lead the country to a staggering recession and a solitary course out of the Eurozone after repudiating an illegally contracted debt of the previous government shapes already the electoral strategy of the ruling parties and those of the opposition.

Questions arise as to the changes, if any, that the political landscape has undergone in these dramatic years of crisis but even more important are the ideas and attitudes the people register as to the future of their country. Disappointment and rage was what we have extensively witnessed in the reaction of the street.

Are these feelings to accompany the Greek voter to the poll or is there a glimpse of hope that the beginning of summer will shine to the depressed hearts of an electorate that felt betrayed by almost every political force in the country?

The traditional political landscape is in fact enriched by new parties that came out of the existing parties covering all political spectrums as a consequence of the controversies on the ways that the devastating crisis should be managed.

The Democratic left party came out of the main block of the Left that had been radicalized even before the crisis. The party (headed by Ph. Kouvelis) seemed to attract the most voters from the center-left area since the party in power (PASOK) could not represent the traditional space of Social democracy.

Entangled in the responsibilities undertaken towards the Lenders and the unpopular austerity measures, the political forces of the majority, the New Democracy (ND) the traditional rightist party to whom PASOK succeeded to government and the actual Governmnent born out of their consensus, appeared incapable of leading Greece beyond a protracting recessional cycle.

However, as the sort life of the new parties ( Independent Greeks a splinter of New Democracy and the Democratic Left)and the long biography of their leaders indicate no new political meanings and attitudes emerged from the crisis. Reduced in electoral motivations, aspiring to participate in coalition governments that the new parliament will make obligatory the new political forces show nothing new in their messages and their ways to represent the public sphere.

In our view what will be completely absent from the next Greek elections would be hope. In lack of any reliable program to overcome the crisis the parties will play on the basic axial mode of confrontation between those who accept the agreements signed with the lenders and try to implement the assorted reforms and those (principally the radicalized left and the far-right parties) that promise to lead the country out of the signed memoranda.

Honoring or not the obligations that the country signed is a false dilemma. It is promoted by those who search an easy political strategy counting on the unpopularity of the austerity measures. Missing any proposal for a radical but feasible breakthrough, it seems evident that all parties will build their strategies in the traces of the past responsibilities and the errors of the opponents. People will feel trapped once again and as any confined human being or rat will have two possible options. Either to abide with his fear and vote for existing solutions to the crisis, up to now given exclusively from abroad or follow a self-destructive attitude hoping that its desperate move cannot create a situation worse to what he is actually suffering.

Since fear has been a more loyal companion to man and given the actual appeasement of the crisis due to the recent haircut "succeeded" by the PM Papademos administration, it is probable that traditional political forces will not collapse, PASOK will recover some of its lost electorate, the New Democracy (ND) will hold its edge as the frontrunner and the small parties of the left will stay divided even if reinforced.

A new political choreography for the constitution of coalition governments will have to be invented. In that context the country will be governed by the Directory in Brussels and Berlin up to the point of an unsustainable, unidentified yet, social limit. Up to that point political forces in Greece will continue business as usual deepening there dependence to a European puzzling future.

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