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Bulgaria's GDP on the rise, consumption still tumbling in Q3 2010 - NSI

10. December 2010. | 11:11

Source: Dnevnik

Bulgaria's gross domestic product (GDP) registered a double growth in the third quarter of 2010 compared with the flash estimates of the National Statistical Institute (NSI) published in November, the statistics office said on Thursday.

Bulgaria's gross domestic product (GDP) registered a double growth in the third quarter of 2010 compared with the flash estimates of the National Statistical Institute (NSI) published in November, the statistics office said on Thursday.

In nominal terms, the country's GDP came in at BGN 19.4 billion, or BGN 2,581 per capita. The country continues to occupy the last positions in terms of GDP per capita ratio among EU states.

The increase, however, was not accompanied by an improvement in household segment, as consumption continued to contract in the quarter. Furthermore, local companies' investment activity also deteriorated in the reported period.

According to NSI's latest data, the country's GDP edged up 0.7% in quarterly terms and 0.5% on an annual basis for July to September.

The statistics bureau's flash seasonally-adjusted estimate in November showed that the country's economy had expanded by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and by 0.2% year-on-year.

The main driver of the country's GDP growth was the rebound in exports, which registered an annual rise of 18%. Sales abroad, however, make the Bulgarian economy dependent on developments in the international markets.

Despite the improved figures, households continued to refrain from spending in the third quarter, with individual and collective consumption falling 5.9% and 7.8%, respectively.

The growth in economy can not be considered a success if the internal market is still stuck in the crisis, Tsvetoslav Tsachev, an analyst at Sofia-based Elana Trading, told Dnevnik.

"Overall, foreign trade is a generator of growth, unlike the domestic market. The impoverishment of the population makes exports more important to business, but while the internal component and consumption are still troubled, the fact that the economic growth registers growth, would not be a great achievement. Another concern is the lack of agile lending, which further impedes the improvement of turnovers in the economy," Tsachev said.

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